Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ETH prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-11-17 00:00:00+00:00 2623.445670 2844.111445 3068.334631 3312.912080 3571.860394 3837.544763 4130.426529
2024-11-24 00:00:00+00:00 2228.418417 2551.012603 2891.843185 3277.562756 3700.727814 4149.634113 4660.621426
2024-12-01 00:00:00+00:00 2013.311627 2399.563570 2819.463147 3307.370286 3856.166377 4451.872246 5144.822208
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 1831.279451 2259.952206 2737.488381 3304.828332 3956.301852 4676.853469 5529.806080
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 1719.973223 2187.506862 2719.361700 3363.220445 4115.436004 4960.390395 5974.975763
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 1581.170582 2070.911575 2639.439437 3340.161469 4172.267121 5120.579683 6274.411360
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 1511.183686 2030.127559 2643.130297 3410.263947 4333.789084 5399.027807 6709.323873
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 1424.315155 1962.219914 2608.611711 3429.636346 4431.198774 5599.844743 7052.311532
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 1338.798664 1890.304862 2564.158743 3432.360488 4504.886372 5770.026343 7357.771648
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 1213.808942 1761.010932 2441.926501 3332.924360 4448.619456 5780.059455 7468.310451
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 1191.787600 1763.404259 2484.111091 3437.653316 4643.157206 6093.557115 7945.917583
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 1157.985812 1747.878501 2501.548989 3509.784605 4796.621468 6357.403399 8364.871917
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 1093.734678 1689.466582 2462.309455 3509.331856 4860.178073 6513.549252 8657.026355
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 1019.297199 1613.517775 2396.906420 3472.303115 4875.362011 6608.770768 8874.311744
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 976.732672 1579.375069 2384.982543 3503.430590 4976.587679 6811.021295 9224.986441
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 924.848377 1529.301088 2349.153476 3500.776180 5032.542281 6955.434636 9503.426173
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 899.192274 1515.397166 2361.513154 3561.746102 5171.232076 7205.262810 9915.995158
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 846.125216 1458.822340 2312.528742 3537.670510 5196.376077 7309.087796 10143.507718
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 828.752466 1454.087545 2335.202254 3610.858215 5350.471190 7579.284052 10584.387333
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 795.453110 1423.712371 2320.224089 3631.080369 5433.185005 7757.198758 10908.002342
2025-04-06 00:00:00+00:00 758.777030 1386.379083 2293.721248 3633.923907 5491.571482 7903.120320 11190.854607
2025-04-13 00:00:00+00:00 692.730632 1300.214538 2193.454319 3530.113971 5402.374659 7853.390276 11218.516692
2025-04-20 00:00:00+00:00 691.699089 1316.521469 2243.309173 3639.448644 5605.490090 8190.254648 11751.638577